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Europe’s defence supercycle has begun
Rising geopolitical tensions are forcing Europe into a major rearmament cycle, with defence spending accelerating across the region. We explore what’s driving the shift — and where investors may find opportunity as Europe rebuilds its military capabilities.
AI’s next constraint: power, not processing
The AI boom is moving beyond chips, with energy emerging as the next critical bottleneck. As demand for power surges, we examine how this shift could reshape the AI trade — and where new investment opportunities are developing.
Rand strength and cooling inflation set the stage for rate cuts
South Africa’s inflation outlook is improving, supported by a stronger rand and easing price pressures. With the SARB potentially moving toward rate cuts in 2026, we look at what this means for markets and investors.
Manage market risk without compromising returns
SA budget speech 2026: What the new tax limits mean for you
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Tech Tuesday
Markets pause as technical and geopolitical signals intersect.
Markets are consolidating near key levels, with a slight positive bias emerging but direction still dependent on confirmation. The J40 is holding within a defined range, while currencies and commodities are approaching short-term inflection points.
Read this week’s edition of Tech Tuesday for charts, precise levels and trade setups across key JSE counters.
J40 Cash Index
The J40 is consolidating between support at 106,103 and resistance at 109,232. A break above resistance would suggest a move towards 111,512, while a move below support could see a retest of 102,341. The current bias remains slightly positive, pending confirmation.
Gold
Gold has extended gains above 4,700 and is now consolidating in a narrow range. The recent move higher suggests a slight upward bias, with preference to enter on a breakout above resistance or a pullback towards support at 4,560 or 4,400.
USD/ZAR
USD/ZAR has pulled back to support at 16.75 following a bearish reversal. A move higher from current levels would target 17.22, while a break below support would suggest further downside towards 16.42. Direction remains dependent on price behaviour at support.
Brent Crude Oil
Brent crude has broken above resistance at 112.86, suggesting further upside towards 119.50. The broader trend remains upward, although with prices near highs, preference is to wait for pullbacks before considering new long positions.
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The Weekly Wrap
What to watch ahead of the long weekend.
As the conflict in Iran continues to unfold, Viv Govender assesses the risk of further escalation, the potential impact on oil and inflation, and why the next few days could prove critical for global markets.
Meet our investment experts.
Rand Swiss combines the expertise of an experienced in-house investment team with insights from respected independent analysts. By bringing together portfolio managers, securities specialists, and external market commentators, we are able to provide clients with a broader and more balanced view of global markets.
This combination of internal expertise and independent perspectives helps ensure our investment thinking remains disciplined, objective, and focused on long-term outcomes for clients.

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Peet Serfontein
Independant Analyst

Liam Houston
Analyst
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